Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
15.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ALO
2 - 2
AVI
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
AVI
0 - 1
SIE
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
RAC
1 - 0
AVI
53%
27%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
AVI
5 - 0
CAY
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
SAN
2 - 1
AVI
54%
26%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
SIE
1 - 0
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
LUG
4 - 0
SMA
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
ENS
2 - 0
LUG
67%
23%
11%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
LUG
1 - 1
CFP
33%
32%
35%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
ATB
3 - 0
LUG
75%
18%
8%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |