Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
AVI
2 - 1
MIR
57%
24%
19%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
LAU
2 - 0
AVI
47%
28%
24%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
AVI
2 - 0
SSC
35%
29%
36%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
TUR
1 - 0
AVI
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
AVI
4 - 2
LEM
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
LUG
2 - 0
ENS
43%
28%
28%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
MIR
1 - 1
LUG
65%
22%
13%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
LUG
2 - 0
LEO
42%
27%
31%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
LAU
3 - 0
LUG
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
LUG
3 - 0
ATH
27%
31%
42%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +2 |