Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
ROB
1 - 1
AVI
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
OSA
0 - 0
AVI
86%
10%
5%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
AVI
1 - 1
ENS
53%
25%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
CUL
1 - 0
AVI
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
AVI
2 - 0
PON
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
LUG
1 - 0
SMA
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
LUG
0 - 2
SLA
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
BAS
0 - 0
LUG
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
LUG
1 - 0
CDO
36%
28%
36%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
CAU
2 - 0
LUG
38%
29%
33%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |