Real Avilés Industrial vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
AVI
3 - 0
TUR
85%
10%
5%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
SAN
0 - 1
AVI
27%
24%
50%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
AVI
3 - 0
ATL
79%
14%
8%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
PEL
0 - 1
AVI
20%
23%
58%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
AVI
2 - 0
LLA
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
LUA
0 - 1
SES
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUA
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
CDL
2 - 1
LUA
54%
22%
24%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
LUA
1 - 1
CAU
31%
26%
43%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
ROB
1 - 0
LUA
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |