Real Avilés Industrial vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
4.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
ROB
4 - 1
AVI
34%
23%
42%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
AVI
0 - 1
CAU
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
AVI
1 - 2
SIE
89%
8%
3%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
AVI
4 - 0
CDL
90%
8%
3%
|
43 | 11 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
SMA
0 - 2
AVI
24%
22%
54%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
LUA
6 - 2
CDL
87%
9%
4%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
SMA
3 - 0
LUA
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
LEN
2 - 0
LUA
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
LUA
3 - 2
CAL
57%
21%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
TUR
1 - 2
LUA
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |