Real Avilés Industrial vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.9%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.9%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.5%
3.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
PEL
1 - 5
AVI
27%
22%
51%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
AVI
4 - 1
RTI
84%
10%
5%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
SIE
1 - 3
AVI
26%
22%
52%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
AVI
4 - 0
SPO
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 1960 |
SSC
1 - 0
AVI
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
LUA
2 - 3
RAC
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1960 |
LUA
4 - 2
CAU
32%
24%
44%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1960 |
PEL
1 - 0
LUA
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
LUA
3 - 2
PEL
81%
12%
8%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
SIE
2 - 3
LUA
57%
20%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |