Real Avilés Industrial vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 0
AVI
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AVI
1 - 0
UDL
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BER
4 - 1
AVI
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
CAU
0 - 0
AVI
14%
24%
61%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AVI
2 - 0
COX
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LEA
2 - 3
COV
32%
27%
41%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 1
LEA
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
LEA
4 - 0
LEN
67%
21%
13%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
LEA
0 - 4
UDL
15%
21%
65%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
UPL
1 - 1
LEA
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |