Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 4-6
Real Avilés Industrial vs Gimnástica Torrelavega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
ALO
1 - 2
AVI
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
AVI
3 - 0
ATO
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
PON
1 - 1
AVI
15%
22%
64%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
AVI
0 - 0
GIN
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
GIM
5 - 0
AVI
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -3 |
Matches
Gimnástica Torrelavega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1969 |
CAC
2 - 3
GIM
18%
26%
56%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
GIM
0 - 0
ARE
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1969 |
SDI
0 - 1
GIM
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1969 |
GIM
1 - 2
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1969 |
GIM
5 - 0
AVI
38%
24%
39%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |