Segunda RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Real Avilés Industrial vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
GER
0 - 0
AVI
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 1
AVI
32%
28%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AVI
2 - 1
ZAM
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
UPL
1 - 1
AVI
35%
28%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AVI
0 - 3
OUR
70%
20%
11%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
GER
0 - 0
AVI
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
UDM
0 - 1
GER
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
GER
0 - 1
SJU
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
GER
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
BEA
3 - 2
GER
32%
26%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |