Real Avilés Industrial vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
AVI
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
AVI
1 - 0
SDL
38%
25%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
RAC
1 - 1
AVI
81%
15%
4%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
AVI
1 - 1
CUL
42%
26%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
AST
1 - 2
AVI
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 0
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
COX
0 - 0
CEL
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 0
CDO
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
UDL
0 - 2
CEL
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
CDG
2 - 2
CEL
18%
23%
60%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |