Real Avilés Industrial vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
31.5%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ALA
1 - 0
AVI
65%
21%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
AVI
0 - 1
LOG
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
AVI
1 - 0
AMU
24%
28%
49%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 1
AVI
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
AVI
1 - 1
LOG
24%
28%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 0
AMU
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEL
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CEL
0 - 0
LOG
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ALF
0 - 2
CEL
43%
29%
28%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
CEL
1 - 0
RUN
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |