Real Avilés Industrial vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
ASP
0 - 2
AVI
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
AVI
1 - 1
ARA
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
AVI
2 - 1
COL
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1997 |
SPB
2 - 2
AVI
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
AVI
0 - 1
RCF
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
CEL
0 - 3
MLL
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1997 |
DEP
2 - 2
CEL
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1997 |
CEL
0 - 3
PON
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
CEL
0 - 3
ARA
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
COL
2 - 2
CEL
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |