Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Real Avilés Industrial vs CD Coria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
COR
0 - 0
AVI
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
GIN
1 - 2
AVI
16%
25%
59%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AVI
6 - 0
NAI
73%
18%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
AVI
23%
26%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TUI
0 - 2
AVI
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Coria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
COR
0 - 0
AVI
21%
25%
54%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
COR
1 - 2
CDZ
27%
25%
49%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MER
2 - 2
COR
44%
26%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
COR
0 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DPC
5 - 2
COR
51%
23%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |