Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-3
Real Avilés Industrial vs Corellano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
GIN
3 - 2
AVI
52%
26%
22%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
AVI
1 - 0
CLU
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
NOI
1 - 1
AVI
46%
28%
26%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
AVI
3 - 1
PON
61%
22%
16%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
CAC
1 - 2
AVI
59%
24%
18%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Corellano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
CDC
1 - 2
CAN
48%
27%
25%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
ACF
0 - 0
CDC
73%
18%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
CDC
0 - 1
TUD
44%
27%
29%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
NAV
0 - 0
CDC
65%
22%
13%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
CDC
1 - 1
RAY
54%
25%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |