Real Avilés Industrial vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UPL
1 - 0
AVI
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AVI
2 - 1
MOS
81%
13%
5%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TIN
0 - 2
AVI
9%
18%
73%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
AVI
5 - 3
PRA
81%
14%
5%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 3
AVI
11%
19%
70%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 3
SIE
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 2
ATL
70%
19%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
UPL
4 - 0
ATL
80%
15%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
6 - 0
MOS
38%
26%
36%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TIN
2 - 2
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |