Real Avilés Industrial vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
48.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
BAR
1 - 1
AVI
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
AVI
1 - 1
LOG
24%
28%
48%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ALF
1 - 1
AVI
57%
23%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
RUN
2 - 0
AVI
67%
21%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
AVI
0 - 0
GIM
28%
30%
42%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
AMU
3 - 0
LOG
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
AMU
0 - 0
BAR
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LOG
0 - 1
AMU
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
ALF
2 - 1
AMU
37%
28%
36%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
AMU
1 - 2
RUN
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |