Real Ávila vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
PON
2 - 1
AVI
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
AVI
1 - 1
ALC
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
COR
0 - 0
AVI
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
AVI
1 - 4
ALC
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
AVI
1 - 1
RIB
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
RMC
1 - 2
CDO
68%
18%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 0
RMC
24%
26%
51%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
RMC
1 - 0
LAN
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
ULP
3 - 1
RMC
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
RMC
1 - 1
CUL
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |