Real Ávila vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
FEM
2 - 3
AVI
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
AVI
1 - 2
GDE
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
UBC
2 - 2
AVI
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
AVI
2 - 1
TOR
64%
19%
16%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
VIL
3 - 2
AVI
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
CAR
4 - 2
SBA
63%
20%
17%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
COL
2 - 0
CAR
81%
12%
6%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
CAR
2 - 4
PUL
18%
27%
55%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
ARA
2 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
CAR
0 - 1
TAL
23%
25%
52%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |