Real Ávila vs Numancia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+121%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 0
AVI
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AVI
6 - 2
VIL
54%
24%
22%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
LVC
3 - 3
AVI
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
AVI
1 - 2
SEG
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
AST
1 - 0
AVI
82%
13%
5%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NUM
3 - 1
UXA
45%
25%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 3
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
BUR
2 - 1
NUM
33%
26%
41%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NUM
1 - 1
VIL
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
LVC
1 - 2
NUM
58%
23%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |