Real Ávila vs Numancia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 1
VAL
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SEG
2 - 1
AVI
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
AVI
1 - 1
GRA
49%
24%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
FUE
4 - 0
AVI
62%
22%
17%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
AVI
3 - 1
CUE
76%
15%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LER
1 - 1
NUM
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NUM
2 - 0
STM
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LVC
0 - 2
NUM
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NUM
1 - 3
CAB
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CAT
3 - 1
NUM
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |