Real Ávila vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
3 - 2
AVI
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AVI
1 - 0
CEB
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SDA
4 - 0
AVI
52%
24%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AVI
5 - 0
SJO
55%
22%
24%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CDB
1 - 1
AVI
37%
27%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AST
2 - 2
UXA
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
NUM
1 - 2
AST
14%
21%
65%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AST
4 - 0
BUR
90%
8%
2%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 3
AST
9%
18%
73%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
AST
2 - 1
LVC
78%
14%
9%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |