Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
GAR
40%
27%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 0
HUA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
COM
2 - 4
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GAR
1 - 0
MUN
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GAR
2 - 1
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
UTC
1 - 0
MUN
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
UTC
2 - 1
UNI
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
HUA
2 - 1
UTC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
UTC
2 - 0
COM
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UTC
1 - 1
AYA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |