Cusco FC vs Unión Comercio analysis

Cusco FC Unión Comercio
71 ELO 63
2.8% Tilt 0.3%
724º General ELO ranking 2404º
Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
59.2%
Cusco FC
22.7%
Draw
18.1%
Unión Comercio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
Cusco FC
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.1%
Win probability
Unión Comercio
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cusco FC
-2%
-1%
Unión Comercio

Points and table prediction

Cusco FC
Their league position
Unión Comercio
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
10º
9
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Universitario Deportes
40
40
100%
Sporting Cristal
40
40
100%
FBC Melgar
38
38
100%
Alianza Lima
33
33
100%
Cusco FC
29
29
100%
ADT de Tarma
28
28
100%
Cienciano
26
26
100%
Comerciantes Unidos
22
22
100%
Los Chankas
21
21
100%
Univ. César Vallejo
10º
20
20
10º
100%
Atlético Grau
11º
19
19
11º
0%
Sport Boys Association
12º
19
19
12º
100%
Sport Huancayo
13º
19
19
13º
0%
UTC Cajamarca
14º
16
16
14º
100%
Deportivo Garcilaso
15º
14
14
15º
0%
Alianza Atl. Sullana
16º
14
14
16º
100%
CA Mannucci
17º
14
14
17º
0%
Unión Comercio
18º
9
9
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cusco FC
Unión Comercio
Play-offs for the title
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Cusco FC
Unión Comercio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cusco FC
Cusco FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Mar. 2024
UNI
Universitario Deportes
1 - 0
Cusco FC
GAR
59%
23%
18%
71 80 9 0
07 Mar. 2024
GAR
Cusco FC
2 - 0
Alianza Atl. Sullana
ALI
50%
25%
25%
70 67 3 +1
03 Mar. 2024
VAL
Univ. César Vallejo
2 - 2
Cusco FC
GAR
49%
26%
26%
69 71 2 +1
24 Feb. 2024
SBO
Sport Boys Association
3 - 0
Cusco FC
GAR
32%
26%
41%
70 62 8 -1
18 Feb. 2024
GAR
Cusco FC
1 - 0
Deportivo Garcilaso
CDG
62%
22%
16%
70 58 12 0

Matches

Unión Comercio
Unión Comercio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2024
COM
Unión Comercio
0 - 4
Deportivo Garcilaso
CDG
60%
22%
18%
64 60 4 0
10 Mar. 2024
HUA
Sport Huancayo
2 - 2
Unión Comercio
COM
68%
20%
12%
64 75 11 0
04 Mar. 2024
COM
Unión Comercio
2 - 0
UTC Cajamarca
UTC
41%
26%
33%
62 68 6 +2
24 Feb. 2024
MEL
FBC Melgar
2 - 1
Unión Comercio
COM
73%
18%
9%
63 79 16 -1
18 Feb. 2024
COM
Unión Comercio
1 - 3
Alianza Lima
ALI
24%
27%
49%
63 80 17 0