Cusco FC vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
GAR
3 - 3
MUN
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
1 - 0
GAR
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
GAR
2 - 2
SPC
34%
25%
42%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SBO
3 - 1
GAR
29%
26%
46%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
GAR
3 - 1
SRP
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 1
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
AYA
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
COM
3 - 1
MUN
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
COM
1 - 3
ALI
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 0
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |