Cusco FC vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
GAR
3 - 1
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
GAR
44%
27%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
GAR
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GAR
0 - 0
MUN
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
MEL
3 - 1
GAR
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COM
2 - 1
MUN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
HUA
1 - 2
COM
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
COM
3 - 2
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 0
COM
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |