Cusco FC vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 1
GAR
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 1
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 0
GAR
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 2
HUA
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 0
GAR
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
COM
0 - 1
AYA
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
COM
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
COM
0 - 2
MEL
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 1
COM
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
COM
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |