Cusco FC vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 0
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
GAR
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
GAR
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 0
ALI
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SBO
3 - 1
GAR
20%
29%
51%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 0
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
AUR
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 2
AUR
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 1
SBO
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 0
AUR
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |