Cusco FC vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 2
AUR
49%
25%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
GAR
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
UCH
1 - 0
GAR
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 3
LEO
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 2
UCH
44%
24%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 1
RAC
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEF
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 2
DEF
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 3
CER
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
CRZ
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |