Cusco FC vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MEL
2 - 1
GAR
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
GAR
1 - 0
MAN
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 2
GAR
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 1
GAR
29%
26%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2019 |
GAR
0 - 1
PIR
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
UTC
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
AYA
3 - 2
AUN
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
MUN
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 1
AUN
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
AUN
0 - 0
COM
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |