Cusco FC vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
HUA
0 - 1
GAR
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
GAR
0 - 1
BIN
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AUN
2 - 1
GAR
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
GAR
1 - 0
MEL
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 1
GAR
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 0
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 2
UTC
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
AYA
2 - 0
ALI
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 2
MUN
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
SCI
2 - 0
ALI
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |