Cusco FC vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SAM
2 - 2
GAR
39%
26%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 1
MUN
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 1
COM
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
HUA
1 - 1
GAR
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 2
GAR
28%
26%
45%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
COM
0 - 0
ALI
40%
28%
33%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
ALI
3 - 2
SAM
55%
24%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
MUN
0 - 2
ALI
37%
30%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
AUR
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALI
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |