Cusco FC vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
GAR
1 - 4
UTC
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 1
GAR
40%
27%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 0
HUA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
COM
2 - 4
GAR
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GAR
1 - 0
MUN
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 2
HUA
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
ALI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 2
MUN
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
HUA
1 - 1
ALI
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |