Cusco FC vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cusco FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
GAR
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 0
GAR
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
GAR
4 - 1
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 0
GAR
49%
27%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
GAR
2 - 2
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
BSC
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
UTC
0 - 2
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
BSC
3 - 0
ALI
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
ALI
2 - 2
COM
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |