Real Arroyo Seco vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
RSA
0 - 0
RAS
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
RAS
0 - 2
PLA
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
RAS
3 - 1
RIV
42%
26%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 1
RAS
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
RAS
1 - 1
HUR
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GBR
3 - 1
CIP
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
GBR
1 - 1
RSA
44%
27%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
PLA
2 - 0
GBR
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
GBR
1 - 0
RIV
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
JUV
3 - 0
GBR
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |