Real Arroyo Seco vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
PLA
2 - 2
RAS
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
RAS
0 - 3
JUV
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
RSA
3 - 0
RAS
61%
23%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
RIV
1 - 0
RAS
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
RAS
1 - 1
GIM
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
GBR
2 - 1
JUV
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
RSA
2 - 0
GBR
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
GBR
1 - 1
RIV
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
GIM
1 - 1
GBR
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
DHA
1 - 0
GBR
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |