Real Arroyo Seco vs 9 de Julio Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BUC
2 - 1
RAS
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RAS
1 - 4
GIM
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
CIP
2 - 0
RAS
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
UNI
3 - 1
RAS
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
RAS
1 - 1
BHU
32%
27%
42%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Julio Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
9DJ
3 - 1
LIB
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
PAT
1 - 1
9DJ
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
9DJ
1 - 1
HUR
62%
21%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 0
9DJ
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
9DJ
3 - 1
GIM
51%
24%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |