Real Aranjuez CF vs Atlético C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SFN
1 - 1
ARA
31%
26%
43%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 4
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GRI
3 - 3
ARA
41%
25%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ADP
3 - 1
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 0
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PBO
2 - 1
ATM
52%
24%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 0
MEX
55%
24%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
POZ
0 - 2
ATM
46%
26%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ATM
0 - 3
MAJ
45%
25%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |