Real Aranjuez CF vs Real Madrid C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
STA
0 - 3
ARA
52%
25%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
NAV
2 - 2
ARA
62%
23%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
ARA
1 - 1
ATM
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
TOR
0 - 1
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ARA
0 - 2
CIE
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
RMC
3 - 1
ATM
52%
24%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 2
RMC
26%
24%
51%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
RMC
2 - 4
CIE
63%
20%
16%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
COS
1 - 1
RMC
33%
26%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 1
ADP
58%
22%
20%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |