Real Aranjuez CF vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
ROB
3 - 0
ARA
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
ARA
3 - 1
FUE
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
AVI
1 - 1
ARA
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
MLL
0 - 0
ARA
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
CEL
0 - 3
ARA
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1997 |
CAR
0 - 0
COL
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1997 |
SPB
1 - 2
CAR
69%
20%
12%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1997 |
CAR
1 - 1
RCF
23%
27%
50%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
CAR
2 - 0
MAR
74%
18%
9%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1996 |
CAR
2 - 2
UPL
35%
28%
37%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +1 |