Real Aranjuez CF vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
AVI
1 - 0
ARA
51%
22%
28%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
ARA
1 - 4
AGR
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 1958 |
GDE
3 - 2
ARA
79%
13%
9%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
ARA
3 - 2
MER
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
GUA
4 - 1
ARA
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
CAR
2 - 0
MOR
74%
15%
12%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 2
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1958 |
CAR
2 - 1
MME
56%
20%
23%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
LEG
4 - 1
CAR
61%
19%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
CAR
4 - 1
DBN
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |