Real Aranjuez CF vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
FEM
4 - 3
ARA
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
TOR
1 - 1
ARA
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
ARA
1 - 2
SEG
53%
22%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
ALC
4 - 3
ARA
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
ARA
0 - 0
GDE
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
RAY
6 - 1
TOR
86%
10%
4%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
SEG
1 - 1
RAY
37%
24%
38%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
RAY
4 - 1
ALC
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
GDE
1 - 1
RAY
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
RAY
1 - 2
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |