Real Aranjuez CF vs Móstoles CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
UNI
2 - 2
ARA
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
CDF
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 4
ARA
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
CMP
47%
24%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
YEB
0 - 1
ARA
27%
22%
52%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 1
CDV
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MOB
1 - 1
MOS
31%
26%
43%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 1
CDE
23%
23%
54%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 0
MOS
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 0
PAR
20%
22%
59%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |