Real Aranjuez CF vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
GIM
2 - 2
ARA
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
ARA
1 - 3
MAN
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
ARA
2 - 2
ALC
71%
16%
13%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
GUA
1 - 0
ARA
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
ARA
1 - 1
VIL
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
MER
2 - 0
MAN
49%
23%
27%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
ALC
2 - 1
MER
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
MER
2 - 2
GUA
71%
17%
13%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
MER
5 - 0
VIL
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
DBN
2 - 1
MER
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |