Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-5
Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
ARA
1 - 2
RCF
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
MAN
2 - 1
ARA
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 0
ARA
51%
27%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
ARA
3 - 3
AVI
60%
24%
17%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
ROB
0 - 0
ARA
52%
25%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
RJA
2 - 0
MAN
78%
16%
7%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
MAN
2 - 1
ARA
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +3 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
MAN
1 - 1
CPC
26%
28%
47%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
MAN
0 - 1
BET
26%
27%
46%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
ALM
3 - 0
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | -1 |