Real Aranjuez CF vs Getafe B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
63.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
10º
16º
16º
51
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 1
CDE
18%
22%
60%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
RMA
4 - 1
ARA
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
ARA
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 3
RVB
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GAL
3 - 1
ARA
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Getafe B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
GET
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
GET
1 - 2
RVB
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GAL
0 - 0
GET
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GET
3 - 1
LRZ
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ALC
0 - 0
GET
35%
27%
38%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |