Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
CUA
2 - 1
ARA
51%
21%
28%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
ARA
3 - 1
UDG
77%
13%
10%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
CDS
2 - 1
ARA
54%
20%
26%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
ARA
5 - 3
LEG
46%
23%
32%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
ARA
2 - 1
UBC
87%
9%
5%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
CDT
1 - 1
RAY
87%
8%
5%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
PUL
2 - 1
CDT
85%
9%
6%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
CDT
1 - 1
GUA
86%
8%
6%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
UBC
0 - 1
CDT
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
CUA
4 - 2
CDT
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |