Real Aranjuez CF vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
63%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 1
ADA
18%
25%
57%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
POZ
2 - 1
ARA
73%
18%
10%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
INT
1 - 0
ARA
75%
17%
8%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +3 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
PNT
16%
22%
61%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
YEB
1 - 3
ARA
69%
18%
14%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SFN
2 - 0
ALC
56%
24%
20%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
SFN
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SFN
0 - 0
ADA
44%
27%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
INT
0 - 2
SFN
51%
24%
24%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SFN
2 - 0
PNT
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |