Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 0
ALC
18%
22%
60%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
MOS
51%
24%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 4
ARA
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
VAL
36%
26%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 1
LEG
15%
20%
66%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CDM
2 - 1
VAL
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
CDM
15%
23%
62%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ADP
0 - 1
CDM
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CDM
5 - 1
PNT
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
RMC
2 - 1
CDM
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |