Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
ACS
0 - 3
ARA
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 1
SAR
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MOS
3 - 2
ARA
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ARA
2 - 0
YEB
44%
24%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TVA
2 - 1
ARA
21%
22%
56%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LUG
2 - 0
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ALA
1 - 0
LUG
47%
26%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
CMP
69%
19%
12%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
LUG
15%
23%
62%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
CLA
65%
20%
16%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |