Real Aranjuez CF vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CDM
1 - 0
ARA
48%
23%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
LEG
29%
25%
46%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
COL
0 - 0
ARA
69%
20%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
2 - 0
CAR
35%
26%
38%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
CLA
0 - 1
ARA
21%
21%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 0
ALH
71%
18%
12%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 3
LUG
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 3
APB
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
YEB
0 - 0
LUG
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 1
CDF
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |